BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fayetteville St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 96 Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 81.68
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (8-1) | District: 2-01 Record: (8-3)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2023 Away L 96.93 17 19 2 45 ( 7- 3) UNC-Pembroke 15.25 -17.25
2 09/09/2023 Home L 94.84 10 24 2 18 ( 13- 2) Lenoir-Rhyne 13.16 -27.16
3 09/16/2023 Home W * 66.15 20 17 2 149 ( 4- 6) Lincoln PA -15.53 18.53
4 09/23/2023 Away W * 101.38 10 7 2 47 ( 10- 2) Virginia Union 19.70 -16.70
5 09/30/2023 Away W * 74.31 28 18 2 153 ( 1- 9) Bluefield St WV -7.37 17.37
6 10/07/2023 Away W * 72.45 7 0 2 151 ( 0- 10) St Augustine's -9.23 16.23
7 10/14/2023 Home W * 70.13 19 14 2 142 ( 4- 6) Livingstone -11.55 16.55
8 10/21/2023 Home W * 78.22 14 7 2 124 ( 7- 4) Johnson C. Smith -3.46 10.46
9 10/28/2023 Away W * 78.57 21 14 2 136 ( 3- 7) Shaw -3.11 10.11
10 11/04/2023 Home W * 80.28 40 34 2 116 ( 4- 6) Winston-Salem St -1.40 7.40
11 11/11/2023 Unknown L * 85.21 10 21 2 47 ( 10- 2) Virginia Union 3.53 -14.53
Averages 81.68 17.8 15.9
Best game: 101.38 = 3 point win over Virginia Union
Worst game: 66.15 = 3 point win over Lincoln PA
Team stdev: 11.59